Thursday, June 25, 2009

On the Nepal Debate.

A sorta extended response to some of the common misconceptions about Nepal for the debate internationally.

The revolution in Nepal has been nothing if not controversial, and naturally as it has evolved and found its own way to progress in response to the conditions it faced then there has been an increasing amount of debate, and confusion, about this process. In this debate there are a number of people who have, most probably unintentionally, come to incorrect conclusions, based on certain myths and misunderstandings that surround the situation in Nepal.

A revolution is and will always be the organic expression of the oppressed classes within a given situation. For revolutionaries on the outside of a revolution looking in, to see the revolution we need to look at the concrete situation it is in, look at the forces in play, find overall trajectories and only then make an analysis based on this. Revolutions look different in different situations. Russia, China, Cuba and Vietnam all had very different paths to power, but they were all revolutions, and we know this because of the class forces being mobilized, the nature of the leadership and the final outcomes of these struggles.

We know these were revolutions, thus they have certain similarities. In looking at new revolutions, we look for these similarities, we do not denounce them because of the naturally occurring differences which will always out of them facing different situations.

Which brings us to Nepal. There is allot of confusion about the process that is unfolding there. There is agreement that in 1996 the Communist Party Nepal (Maoist) left the parliament an launched a peoples war, this was able to gain significant momentum. Within a few years hundreds of thousands, if not millions of the rural poor joined the Maoist movement and they were able to control the vast majority of the country, inflicting many defeats on the army an the police. In 2005 they made alliances with the now illegal mainstream parties against the monarchy, and after a massive peoples uprising in 2006 joined a peace process. Here there are some common misunderstandings.

Incorrect analysis of Nepal states that the leadership has embraced reformist politics by abandoning "Red Power" in 80% of the country to be allowed into a petit bourgeois electoral system. It clearly goes against the traditional Maoist strategy of surrounding the cities with the Peoples army and then invading. Thus, the revolutionary leadership in Nepal have betrayed the peoples sacrifices made in the Peoples War to be integrated into the bureaucracy and for personal gain of the leadership at the expense of the revolution.

This analysis is based largely on myths and has to totally ignore the reality of the situation. It is incompatible with the actual balance of forces and in total contradiction to the processes at play. Further it totally ignores the actions and policies of the party leadership.

The first myth that this is based on is that by 2005 the Maoists and their People's Liberation Army had complete control over 80% of Nepal. This is not true. By 2005 the PLA had De Facto control over 80% of the country. The difference is seemingly small, but significant. The Maoists did control a new pro people local administration, they did set up peoples councils, they did have the peoples courts ect. However all of these things needed to exist at very least semi underground. The central Royalist state was still superior. While it wasn't strong enough to be able to continue raising taxes or maintain its apparatus on a permanent basis in most of the country, it was still in control. It controlled the major urban centers, and the majority of the transportation system, and therefore, controlled the economy. The situation was therefore not one of two separate and relatively equal states struggling against each other, but rather, there was a new state emerging, but it was in every way except politically inferior to its counterpart. There was no fully permanent alternative state.

This state was still weak and not fully mature. They were unable to make significant development projects, the political leadership of the peoples state had to lived underground was was in constant danger of being murdered at the hands of the army/police. Even the communes had been burned down at different times. The revolutionaries needed to find a way to move forward, to strengthen their forces and overcome the royalist state.

In no way should the Peoples State in Nepal be dismissed, it was a highly significant part of the peoples war, and was able to make significant gains for women, people of low caste, ethnic nationalities and local governance, however this state simply was not strong enough to be able to stand on its own against the central Kathmandu government. In time, it may have been able to develop into such a state, however this would have been a long and bloody process, and events transpired which fast tracked the revolution and brought urban areas and across the country. This was conquest of one state over the other but it was political and not physical or military.

This all ties in with another myth, that the PLA was militarily equal to or greater then the Royal Nepalese Army. This is not the case. The PLA was politically and tactically far superior to the RNA, and this was the root of its success. The PLA was able to attack the RNA at its weakest points, or too pool its resources to overcome RNA bases or capture some large towns temporarily, but in set piece battles, or on permanent front lines, the PLA was inferior. Even by this late stage in the war, if they got together enough armed men, there was nowhere that the RNA could not go. Some places would be guaranteed to be expensive and for them to take heavy casualties, but there was not one inch of ground that was absolutely liberated. If the Peoples Army could have stormed Kathmandu, or been able to have done so in the foreseeable future, they would have done so.

In 2005 this was the situation. The revolutionary forces had defacto control of the nation. They were totally politically superior, and had the army well and truly on the defensive, a new peoples state was in existence. This said, there was still a long road to victory. The Central state was shaken but still stable. The end was not in sight.

Enter the Jana Andolan (Peoples Movement) in 2006. There are two particularly common misunderstandings relating to the Jana Adolan. First, that after the Jana Andolan the Maoists gave up aspirations of capturing Kathmandu. Secondly, that the Maoists did not display sufficient political leadership to this revolutionary situation and "sold out" at the expense of the people in the street.

Jana Andolan did in a way signal the end of the Peoples War, but this was not because the Maoists gave up on the war, the Jana Andolan was a direct result of the Peoples War- its most decisive and final battle. The people of Kathmandu stood up for a republic, for the end of the monarchy and corruption, and for a new Nepal- these are the demands of the Maoists. It is true that the Maoists didn't conquer Kathmandu by the might of its PLA, but this was the wave of the Revolution crashing into Kathmandu all the same. The revolution did conquer Kathmandu- not by might of arms, but through the might of revolutionary political ideas.

There has been some criticism of the revolutionary leadership during the Jana Andolan, and if they had been "more red" the Jana Andolan uprising could have completed the revolution then and there. At this stage public revolutionary consciousness was not yet high enough to complete a revolutionary process. People were united by a common hatred of the autocratic monarchy, but other then that the movement was very divided, liberals, soft monarchists, democrats and social-democrats all had considerable influence on the movement, as well as revolutionaries. The need to radically reorganize society, the economy and the state was not- and still is not quite yet, recognized by the mass of the population.

To reach this level of consciousness there needs to be a party-mass dynamic. The party provides revolutionary leadership, and is constantly in contact with its mass base, working with them, taking up their struggles and their suggestions. The mass- if convinced by the situation and the politics of the party- will follow it. The party ultimately aims to lead the mass, but can only ever go as far or as fast as the situation permits. In the end, the revolutionary leadership" must take its directions from the base. Any revolutionary party that tries to do otherwise immediately loses the support of the people, and its ability to influence the political situation evaporates.

During the Jana Andolan it meant that the Maoists pushed for- and got a constituent assembly. Without the revolutionary leadership it is likely that the "mainstream" political parties would have just amended the old constitution to limit the monarchs powers further, it was only the revolutionary leadership of the Maoists that pushed the other parties to ensuring that a new constitution was written by elected representatives. This increased popular support for the revolutionaries, which gives them a greater ability to push for bigger goals. The Maoists have taken a consistent revolutionary stand.

The Maoists entered into government not because they have abandoned revolutionary goals but in response to public opinion and to show the need for revolutionary goals. After winning the election, they had the right- by the logic of the bourgeois state- to form government and create legislation. As Marxists, we understand that the state has a class basis, however no-one is born with that knowledge. The Maoists time in government showed in practice that no matter what people vote for, a revolution can not be simply elected. More then any speeches the experience of a peoples government in a bourgeois state has shown the mass of people that radical change is necessary, where as previously many had illusions in the prospects of a peaceful gradual change. It has become apparent that imperialism is central to the state to the people of Nepal, not because the Maoists said so, but because of the role of the India and American governments in overthrowing the elected government. With only propaganda revolutionaries would have struggled to convince a majority of people, but but taking principled decisions, more and more people have been pushed into the revolutionary camp, and then become open to revolutionary ideas.

At this stage there has not been a revolution, and a revolutionary peoples state has not been created, but the party is still very clear that this is still its objective, and is currently in a lengthy process of discussion as to how best to achieve this aim.

So it is also important to talk about the Maoists stated goals for the post-revolutionary state. In some circles they have caused considerable controversy particularly, with their statements that the future peoples state and their belief that the new revolutionary state can be a multi-party state. This comes from the UCPN(M) coming to a new synthesis based on their own experience during their own revolution, and by analyzing the historic examples of socialism and their downfall.

The impetus for this came from their analysis of the collapse of the Soviet Union and China. In short, the party came to the agreement that both these revolutions, despite the active involvement of the oppressed working classes, these revolutions still succumbed to bureaucratic degeneration, and thus were eventually overthrown. Therefore, it becomes obvious that future revolutions need to find ways to prevent these kinds of outcomes from happening again. The idea of Multi party elections in a workers and peasants state is an attempt to allow room for working people to be able to have the space to overcome corruption and errors in the revolution and the revolutionary party, should they occur.

First it needs to be recognized that having multiple parties within a peoples state, is not an oxymoron, and in fact has historical precedent. At the beginning of the USSR after the October revolution, the Bolshevik party was initially in coalition with the left Socialist Revolutionaries, and certain factions of the mensheviks were tolerated as well. These separate parties were under no restrictions within the workers state initially and were only removed from it after they degenerated and started acting against the interests of the state itself. During the revolution in Cuba there was no a single revolutionary party, there were in fact three, the July 26th Movement, the Revolutionary Directorate and the Popular Socialist Party. There eventually merged into a single party, but the fact is that the idea that within each situation there is and will only ever be one party that is absolutely "correct", is not true.

The role of the revolutionary is to destroy the old state (of the bourgeois class) and replace it with state structures that represent the working class (proletariat). State structure include the laws and court systems, education systems ect. Once the state has been set up and secured, firmly in the hands of the proletariat, then the proletariat has every right to organise and be active within the boundaries of that state, especially around questions of the running that state. Exceptions can be foreseen, such as the situation in the civil war in Russia, or the current situation in Cuba, where external forces and pressure make this desirable situation impossible. There is no contradictions, historically or ideologically, that mean that the revolution at all times is a monoparty affair.

Within Nepal revolutionaries have already used this tactic within their parallel state structures during the peoples war. Elections were held, and what forces for the opposition parties were left in these areas were allowed to participate. It opened a way for the revolutionaries to get feedback from the grassroots. In some areas these opposition groups did quite well in these elections, and this showed the Maoist party in which areas they were not fulfilling their tasks well, in which areas there had developed a bureaucracy or an automatic way of doing things, and in which areas they needed to improve. In this way they were able to build more responsive party, with closer links to the masses.

Finally, there has been much speculation as too the role that a Nepalese revolution plays in the international situation.

When looking at Nepal and the international situation, the limitations of Nepal are immediately apparent. It is a landlocked nation, with an unbelievably underdeveloped economy, land lock and wedged between two superpowers, in a region with relatively weak socialist movements- and in a time where the socialist block is gone and Communist China exists only in name. The whole situation is pretty overwhelming for such a tiny Himalayan country.

So what are the responsibilities and possibilities for an revolutionary and internationalist force in Nepal.

By no means should we think the revolution is doomed. While USSR and China's support was very welcome, it also brought with it distortions of their own, and sometimes limited the creativity of organic revolutionary movements, so on one level it does free up the Nepali comrades politically- albeit to limitations economically. Further the emerging revolutions in Latin America can provide a potential source of diplomatic and economic support, however limited it may be as these are also largely impoverished countries.

They do have an enormous responsibility to international revolution. Revolutions spread. Revolutions give an example that give evidence to revolutionaries claims for what is possible, can give ideological and logistical support to their comrades overseas and challenge the status quo in one country, which entices people to challenge the elite in their own. Historically we can see this, the situations in Europe following the Bolshevik Revolution in 1917 (Germany in particular), The role China had in inspiring revolutionaries in Vietnam and the Naxalites in India. The international phenomenon of 1968. Things spread. It is no coincidence that Latin America is now a hotbed of revolution, as there has been a socialist state, existing and providing an alternative example for the last 5 decades. In this time Cuba providing diplomatic, economic, ideological and even military support for revolutions despite its own economic limitations.

Nepal's has an opportunity to take state power and create a peoples state. Its first responsibility to international revolutions is to do that, and create state systems that are more representative, and re gear the economy to focus on peoples needs rather then the needs of bureaucrats and monarchists. In doing so that provides an example- and proof to people, particularly in the subcontinent, that there is an alternative. The subcontinent has never had a revolutionary organization as successful as the Nepali Maoists. Even the Naxalite movement in its hey-day was nowhere near the level of challenging for state power. The power of example is enormous.

At any rate, the revolution is ongoing. It is by no means guaranteed success, the challenges are enormous, but the struggle has not yet come to its conclusion. Where it will go we do not know, but at this stage there is no reason to abandon hope for the direction of that struggle.


Anonymous said...

Bloody excellent post Ben, best take on the situation I've seen in ages. A key point that's also worth making is that revolutions do not proceed in a linear path. Just because yoy have a particular policy at one point in time, a particular srategy at a particular juncture, does not mean it will stay that way forever. The world is not static, it is constantly changing and evolving (a fundamental part of the Marxist dialectical analysis). As a result, the strategies of revolutionaries must also change and adapt to the objective conditions. People who say that the Maoists cannot change their strategies from Protracted People's War to a more urban, above ground approach without it being "treachery" do not understand revolutions. It's like saying you can drive a ship through the arctic in a straight line at full speed, never changing course or zigzagging. All that's going to happen is you'll hit an iceberg or sink. Real revolutionaries recognise this, and know that revolutions are a protracted process that requires frequent changes of tack while still retaining your overall goal.

Just because the Maoists dissolve the parralel state now does not mean it cannot be revived later - which is, incidentally, exactly whats happening, with a number of reports surfacing about the revival of the People's Committees in some areas.

One point you didn't really adress was the question of Maoists supposedly just wanting to manage capitalism, fuck over the workers with a red flag and ban strikes. This is clearly ridiculous, but it's one that gets thrown at the Maoists by a lot of pseudo-leftists. Maybe you should use some of your remaining time in Nepal to interview ordinary workers, trade unionists etc on how worker-friendly they feel the Maoists are and exactly how "anti-strike" the Maoists are too.

Keep up the good work Ben, Lal Salaam,

Alastair Reith.

redflags said...

Yes, thank you so much for writing this analysis in English! You are doing a tremendous service.

Arthur said...

Glad to see you are studying the situation seriously. There will be more and more people doing that as things develop.

Don't worry too much about the "misconceptions" among Western pseudolefts - their own record of complete political impotence speaks for itself - it would be more worrying if they were enthusiastic!

One minor criticism. You emphasize comparisons with Latin America and Cuba. My impression is that reflects your own previous views and background rather than anything you have picked up from studying experience of Maoists in Nepal. If so, you should make that distinction more clear as a lot of the rest of what you are saying does seem to more closely reflect Nepalese Maoist views (though I suspect they might also put more emphasis on the positive benefits of the current path and less on the difficulties of other paths that are still open if necessary).

Ben Peterson said...

Glad you liked it- thanks allot. Although your right- i did miss the stuff on "strike bans"- which are bullshit.I just forgot about that point, but its as false as any of the other claims. I might try and get to that at a later date.

I dont think this debate is going to seriously challenge the preconceptions of the psudoleft- mostly because you cant engage with many of them seriously, only in doctrines and dogmas. But there is still a value in trying to debunk the arguments they put forward so as to minimize the confusion that can spring up around Nepal.
As for an emphasis on Latin America well, yes your absolutely right, that has more to do with my background rather then study in Nepal. I don't see how this is a criticism however. Especially when viewing the international context that Nepal's revolution is happening in- it is important to know that while there is no more USSR, there are revolutions in Latin America, and these revolutions need to find ways to link up and come together because it will make them both stronger for it- despite the enormous economic, cultural, and physical distance between them.
I also like the Cuba comparison because it too is a tiny Nation living under immense imperialist blockade and after the USSR collapsed it had to exist totally alone and isolated. Nepal is a socialist project in a simmilar isolation. This is important because in the Nepal debate there are some that say a truly internationalist Nepal's responsibility is to link up wiht the Naxalites and spark a war with India. Thats not the case at all- Nepal will be far more valuable as a example and as a state that can give support to other revolutionary movements. This is the experience of Cuba in Latin America, and there is now revolutions in Venezuela and Bolivia and across the continent to show for it.

Anyway- Cheers.

Arthur said...


1. We are agreed on nature of the problem with the pseudoleft critiques of Nepal and that it is nevertheless worthwhile to clear up the misconceptions as you are doing. My "don't worry too much" was intended along the lines of "don't let it get you down".

2. The minor criticism is resolved by you now having made it absolutely clear that the emphasis on Latin America was from you rather than from Nepalese. As to your elaboration of those views I won't get into argument about my disagreements with them as for me it is a side issue even though it is obviously important to you.

Anyway, keep up the good work - cheers

Anonymous said...

"This is important because in the Nepal debate there are some that say a truly internationalist Nepal's responsibility is to link up wiht the Naxalites and spark a war with India. Thats not the case at all- Nepal will be far more valuable as a example and as a state that can give support to other revolutionary movements. This is the experience of Cuba in Latin America, and there is now revolutions in Venezuela and Bolivia and across the continent to show for it."

That is completely true, I'm glad you pointed that out. It's entirely possible that India will directly invade Nepal after a revolutionary seizure of power, and at the very least they will apply diplomatic pressure, mess about with trade, conduct espionage and sabotage etc to try and bring down the revolution. A Nepalese revolution government will be in power by the skin of it's teeth no matter what happens, and the last thing they want to do is encourage Delhi to send it's troops over the border (although as I'm sure your aware they've been doing that recently anyway!).

Another point is that it wouldn't actually help the revolution in India if Nepal sent the PLA off to invade. Not only would the PLA be beaten, as it couldn't possibly take on the Indian military in head on conventional warfare, but the Indian masses wouldn't react well to it. Following the Russian revolution and Poland's intervention into the Civil War, the Red Army invaded Poland as deep as Warsaw, where they suffered a decisive defeat and had to fall back to the border and sue for peace. Revolution cannot be spread abroad at the point of a bayonet - it must come through the desires and actions of the working masses themselves.

Nepal could provide tacit support to the Naxalites, perhaps asylum and so on in a similar manner to how the newly independent African states like Algeria did to the revolutionaries in Mozambique, South Africa and Angola. But the Indian masses would resent foreign intervention and in all likelihood many would rally around "defence of the motherland" style slogans.

As you said, Nepal will help the Naxalites much more by proving through concrete, real world example to the Indian masses that there is an alternative to the misery they currently endure, and it's name is New Democracy and then socialism.

Rosa said...

Ben your report is lopsided and half way even according to the articles of various comrades of UCPN Maoist. Could you also make report on CC meeting being held? I heard there is far different in the livelihood of the leaderships and the party members? What are they going to achieve from this tactic in concrete?

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